Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 10 · BO3
result vs predictionKCKA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKIwin 2:0
series probability
73%27%
probability at match start · final 2:0
CChipsblloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI
Banesignature
smN · 8 games
Sand Kingsignature
Corrupted · 8 games
Centaur Warrunner
Corrupted · 5 games
Dark Willow
Hellscream · 5 games
Treant Protector
smN · 5 games
Axeoften banned
Corrupted · 4 games
Chaos Knightoften banned
Munkushi~ · 4 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Munkushi~ · 4 games
Chipsbl
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
426 picks · 272 bans
Mars
413 picks · 550 bans
Tiny
370 picks · 429 bans
Death Prophet
344 picks · 703 bans
Ember Spirit
306 picks · 451 bans
Sand King
306 picks · 410 bans
Pangolier
270 picks · 398 bans
Weaver
261 picks · 310 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 50%
Hero pool strength58% KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total73% KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct43:14
KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI 66%Chipsbl 34%
The model gave 66% on KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI — the game was taken by KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI in 33:20.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Chaos KnightMunkushi~
Dragon KnightTabletkee
Centaur WarrunnerCorrupted
PhoenixHellscream
BanesmN
Game 2prediction correct36:17
KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI 63%Chipsbl 37%
The model gave 63% on KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI — the game was taken by KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI in 33:10.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
TerrorbladeMunkushi~
PangolierTabletkee
MarsCorrupted
Skywrath MageHellscream
BanesmN
Model check result
Model favoriteKA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI · 73%
Series resultKA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2