Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Восточная Европа · BO1
result vs predictionKCKA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKIwin 1:0
series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 1:0
cybercatsloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI
Banesignature
smN · 18 games
Phoenixsignature
Hellscream · 10 games
Sand Kingsignature
Corrupted · 10 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Corrupted · 9 games
Dark Willowsignature
Hellscream · 8 games
Chaos Knightsignature
Munkushi~ · 7 games
Skywrath Mage
Hellscream · 7 games
Treant Protector
smN · 7 games
cybercats
Grimstroke
Fezor · 8 games
Chaos Knightoften banned
Shigetsu · 7 games
Faceless Voidoften banned
Shigetsu · 5 games
Jakiro
Fezor · 5 games
Tinyoften banned
Shigetsu · 5 games
Bane
Hduo · 4 games
Rubick
Fezor · 4 games
Sand Kingoften banned
USHUSHUSH · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
472 picks · 629 bans
Bane
450 picks · 290 bans
Tiny
438 picks · 489 bans
Sand King
398 picks · 528 bans
Death Prophet
363 picks · 788 bans
Ember Spirit
344 picks · 554 bans
Storm Spirit
343 picks · 547 bans
Pangolier
331 picks · 504 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)64% vs 33%
Hero pool strength64% KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total68% KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteKA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI · 68%
Series resultKA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI 1:0
Series predictioncorrect