Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 10 · BO3
result vs predictionKCKA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKIloss 0:2
series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 0:2
PSG Questwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI
Banesignature
smN · 18 games
Phoenixsignature
Hellscream · 10 games
Sand Kingsignature
Corrupted · 10 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Corrupted · 8 games
Dark Willowsignature
Hellscream · 8 games
Chaos Knightsignature
Munkushi~ · 7 games
Treant Protector
smN · 7 games
Marssignature
Corrupted · 6 games
PSG Quest
Pangolieroften banned
No!ob · 4 games
Undyingoften banned
Eixn · 4 games
Death Prophetoften banned
No!ob · 3 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
OmaR · 3 games
Mirana
OmaR · 3 games
Puckoften banned
No!ob · 3 games
Shadow Shaman
OmaR · 3 games
Hoodwink
OmaR · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
453 picks · 279 bans
Mars
451 picks · 615 bans
Tiny
415 picks · 480 bans
Sand King
384 picks · 501 bans
Death Prophet
363 picks · 782 bans
Ember Spirit
344 picks · 531 bans
Storm Spirit
324 picks · 502 bans
Pangolier
320 picks · 475 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)65% vs 50%
Hero pool strength56% KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total70% KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed19:39
KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI 60%PSG Quest 40%
The model gave 60% on KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI — the game was taken by PSG Quest in 37:44.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Monkey KingMunkushi~
RubickNo!ob
Centaur WarrunnerCorrupted
PugnaEixn
Keeper of the LightHellscream
Earth SpiritOmaR
JakirosmN
Game 2prediction missed20:37
KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI 59%PSG Quest 41%
The model gave 59% on KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI — the game was taken by PSG Quest in 32:47.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
MorphlingMunkushi~
PuckNo!ob
PangolierCorrupted
Earth SpiritOmaR
PugnasmN
IoEixn
Skywrath MageHellscream
Model check result
Model favoriteKA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI · 70%
Series resultPSG Quest 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2