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Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 11 · BO3
result vs prediction
KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKIloss 0:1
series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Virtus.prowin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI

Bane
Banesignature
smN · 19 games
79%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Hellscream · 12 games
67%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Corrupted · 12 games
67%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Corrupted · 11 games
64%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Magesignature
Hellscream · 10 games
70%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Corrupted · 9 games
67%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightsignature
Munkushi~ · 9 games
89%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
Hellscream · 8 games
75%

Virtus.pro

Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
gpK~ · 13 games
38%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 12 games
67%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
yamich · 12 games
58%
Bane
Banesignature
Xakoda · 10 games
70%
Abaddon
Abaddonsignature
1ls · 9 games
78%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
DM · 9 games
89%
Mars
Marssignature
DM · 9 games
67%
Weaver
Weaversignature
yamich · 9 games
78%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
Mars
480 picks · 668 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
468 picks · 499 bans
50%
Bane
Bane
456 picks · 278 bans
57%
Sand King
Sand King
431 picks · 582 bans
54%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
382 picks · 453 bans
52%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
381 picks · 643 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
363 picks · 565 bans
53%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
349 picks · 604 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)68% vs 44%
Hero pool strength54% KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% Virtus.pro
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI 41%Virtus.pro 59%
The model gave 59% on Virtus.pro — the game was taken by Virtus.pro.
Model check result
Model favoriteVirtus.pro · 59%
Series resultVirtus.pro 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1