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Elite League Season 2 - Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Kalmychatawin 2:1
series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 2:1
SIBE Teamloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Kalmychata

Bane
Bane
smN · 2 games
50%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
hina · 2 games
50%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
rincyq · 1 game
0%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
hina · 1 game
0%
Luna
Luna
rincyq · 1 game
0%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassin
rincyq · 1 game
100%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
smN · 1 game
0%

SIBE Team

Rubick
Rubick
sunset · 31 game
35%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
sunset · 20 games
45%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
SOhY · 17 games
53%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
nesfeer · 16 games
25%
Puck
Pucksignature
ряф^^ · 16 games
69%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
ряф^^ · 15 games
47%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
ряф^^ · 15 games
60%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
SOhY · 13 games
54%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
473 picks · 224 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
416 picks · 633 bans
54%
Batrider
Batrider
412 picks · 714 bans
52%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
403 picks · 361 bans
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
397 picks · 576 bans
52%
Rubick
Rubick
374 picks · 159 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
362 picks · 778 bans
52%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
335 picks · 944 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 52%
Hero pool strength51% Kalmychata
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% SIBE Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Kalmychata 36%SIBE Team 64%
The model gave 64% on SIBE Team — the game was taken by Kalmychata.
Game 2prediction correct
Kalmychata 36%SIBE Team 64%
The model gave 64% on SIBE Team — the game was taken by SIBE Team.
Game 3prediction missed
Kalmychata 36%SIBE Team 64%
The model gave 64% on SIBE Team — the game was taken by Kalmychata.
Model check result
Model favoriteSIBE Team · 64%
Series resultKalmychata 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3