Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 11 · BO3
result vs prediction
KBU.USloss 1:2series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 1:2
YNTwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
KBU.US
No games played over 6 months.
YNT
Marsoften banned
Dominic · 10 games
Grimstroke
jesv · 9 games
Pugnaoften banned
Malr1ne · 9 games
Sand Kingoften banned
Dominic · 9 games
Tinyoften banned
DarkLord^ · 9 games
Death Prophetoften banned
dSa · 8 games
Bane
dSa · 7 games
Chaos Knightoften banned
DarkLord^ · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
476 picks · 659 bans
Tiny
462 picks · 487 bans
Bane
453 picks · 277 bans
Sand King
429 picks · 579 bans
Dragon Knight
382 picks · 452 bans
Storm Spirit
380 picks · 638 bans
Pangolier
362 picks · 562 bans
Ember Spirit
345 picks · 598 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 28%
Hero pool strength53% KBU.US
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total61% KBU.US
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed24:46
KBU.US 61%YNT 39%
The model gave 61% on KBU.US — the game was taken by YNT in 43:28.
Game 2prediction missed17:33
KBU.US 61%YNT 39%
The model gave 61% on KBU.US — the game was taken by YNT in 35:06.
Game 3prediction missed24:23
KBU.US 61%YNT 39%
The model gave 61% on KBU.US — the game was taken by YNT in 37:01.
Model check result
Model favoriteKBU.US · 61%
Series resultYNT 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 3