Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 3. Восточная Европа. Открытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
kefteme.mp3win 1:0series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 1:0
SIBE Teamloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
kefteme.mp3
No games played over 6 months.
SIBE Team
Alchemistoften banned
nesfeer · 1 game
Clockwerk
Arti_Shock · 1 game
Dawnbreakeroften banned
klassnokruto · 1 game
Ember Spiritoften banned
erase · 1 game
Techies
y0nd · 1 game
Undyingoften banned
Arti_Shock · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
747 picks · 608 bans
Disruptor
548 picks · 472 bans
Beastmaster
423 picks · 1013 bans
Tiny
403 picks · 377 bans
Ember Spirit
399 picks · 962 bans
Doom
392 picks · 632 bans
Undying
388 picks · 603 bans
Mirana
380 picks · 205 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 62%
Hero pool strength51% kefteme.mp3
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% kefteme.mp3
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
kefteme.mp3 56%SIBE Team 44%
The model gave 56% on kefteme.mp3 — the game was taken by kefteme.mp3.
Model check result
Model favoritekefteme.mp3 · 56%
Series resultkefteme.mp3 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1