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BLAST Slam IX. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Klim Sani4win 1:0
series probability
82%18%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Inner Circleloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Klim Sani4

Dark Willow
Dark Willow
swedenstrong · 9 games
56%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Squad1x · 8 games
88%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
swedenstrong · 8 games
88%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvernsignature
Rein · 8 games
100%
Lycan
Lycanoften banned
mangekyou · 7 games
57%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritoften banned
Squad1x · 5 games
60%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
swedenstrong · 5 games
100%
Broodmother
Broodmother
mangekyou · 4 games
75%

Inner Circle

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Fernans · 23 games
39%
Tusk
Tusk
Fernans · 14 games
43%
Bane
Banesignature
Se · 13 games
85%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
Fernans · 13 games
62%
Kez
Kezoften banned
423 · 13 games
38%
Underlord
Underlordoften banned
Norma · 12 games
33%
Doom
Doomsignature
rubikon155 · 11 games
73%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
Se · 10 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
482 picks · 319 bans
51%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
330 picks · 504 bans
57%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
317 picks · 387 bans
52%
Bane
Bane
314 picks · 438 bans
53%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
301 picks · 625 bans
50%
Mirana
Mirana
291 picks · 108 bans
52%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
283 picks · 117 bans
49%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
276 picks · 289 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)71% vs 50%
Hero pool strength62% Klim Sani4
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total82% Klim Sani4
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct13:33
Klim Sani4 82%Inner Circle 18%
The model gave 82% on Klim Sani4 — the game was taken by Klim Sani4 in 32:15.
Model check result
Model favoriteKlim Sani4 · 82%
Series resultKlim Sani4 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1