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EPL Masters II · BO3
result vs prediction
Klim Sani4win 2:0
series probability
73%27%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Rune Eaters Ariseloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Klim Sani4

Dark Willow
Dark Willow
swedenstrong · 5 games
60%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
Rein · 5 games
100%
Broodmother
Broodmother
mangekyou · 4 games
75%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritoften banned
Squad1x · 4 games
50%
Kez
Kezoften banned
423 · 3 games
100%
Dazzle
Dazzle
Rein · 2 games
50%
Enigma
Enigmaoften banned
mangekyou · 2 games
100%
Lifestealer
Lifestealeroften banned
423 · 2 games
100%

Rune Eaters Arise

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
ani-san · 9 games
44%
Largo
Largosignature
Ankou · 8 games
63%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
waveformn · 6 games
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Ethereal · 6 games
67%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
yowaai · 6 games
33%
Undying
Undyingoften banned
ani-san · 6 games
33%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvernsignature
ani-san · 6 games
67%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Ankou · 5 games
20%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
484 picks · 330 bans
51%
Bane
Bane
341 picks · 462 bans
54%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
331 picks · 499 bans
52%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
327 picks · 503 bans
57%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
308 picks · 637 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
279 picks · 311 bans
47%
Windranger
Windranger
265 picks · 190 bans
48%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
257 picks · 272 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 55%
Hero pool strength58% Klim Sani4
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total73% Klim Sani4
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct32:25
Klim Sani4 63%Rune Eaters Arise 37%
The model gave 63% on Klim Sani4 — the game was taken by Klim Sani4 in 46:28.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tiny
Tiny423
51% · 343 games52% · 408 games
Shadow Fiendyowaai
Shadow Fiend
Lycan
Lycanmangekyou
45% · 72 games49% · 168 games
ViperEthereal
Viper
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritDifference
53% · 309 games55% · 287 games
DoomAnkou
Doom
Hoodwink
Hoodwinkswedenstrong
53% · 493 games49% · 217 games
Miranaani-san
Mirana
Winter Wyvern
Winter WyvernRein
49% · 164 games41% · 301 game
Dark Willowwaveformn
Dark Willow
Game 2prediction correct56:25
Klim Sani4 61%Rune Eaters Arise 39%
The model gave 61% on Klim Sani4 — the game was taken by Klim Sani4 in 55:18.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Necrophos
Necrophos423
60% · 81 game51% · 135 games
Templar Assassinyowaai
Templar Assassin
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnermangekyou
49% · 334 games46% · 367 games
PuckEthereal
Puck
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightRein
52% · 187 games47% · 195 games
UnderlordAnkou
Underlord
Night Stalker
Night StalkerSquad1x
49% · 111 games49% · 198 games
Rubickwaveformn
Rubick
Windranger
Windrangerswedenstrong
51% · 307 games47% · 125 games
Winter Wyvernani-san
Winter Wyvern
Model check result
Model favoriteKlim Sani4 · 73%
Series resultKlim Sani4 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2