European Pro League Season 15 · BO3
result vs prediction
Klim Sani4win 2:0series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 2:0
SIBE Teamloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Klim Sani4
No games played over 6 months.
SIBE Team
Primal Beastsignature
klassnokruto · 13 games
Grimstrokesignature
emptiness · 12 games
Brewmastersignature
klassnokruto · 11 games
Pangoliersignature
erase · 10 games
Phantom Assassinsignature
nesfeer · 9 games
Pucksignature
ряф^^ · 8 games
Rubick
emptiness · 8 games
Treant Protectorsignature
Rein · 8 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
262 picks · 433 bans
Muerta
231 picks · 320 bans
Phoenix
219 picks · 328 bans
Dark Willow
205 picks · 105 bans
Tusk
204 picks · 184 bans
Centaur Warrunner
197 picks · 272 bans
Treant Protector
195 picks · 389 bans
Kunkka
182 picks · 519 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 62%
Hero pool strength57% SIBE Team
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total53% Klim Sani4
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed25:26
Klim Sani4 53%SIBE Team 47%
The model gave 53% on Klim Sani4 — the game was taken by SIBE Team in 55:27.
Game 2prediction missed28:31
Klim Sani4 53%SIBE Team 47%
The model gave 53% on Klim Sani4 — the game was taken by SIBE Team in 47:17.
Model check result
Model favoriteKlim Sani4 · 53%
Series resultKlim Sani4 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2