European Pro League Season 15 · BO3
result vs prediction
Klim Sani4loss 0:2series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Kleewin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Klim Sani4
No games played over 6 months.
Team Klee
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
260 picks · 434 bans
Muerta
231 picks · 320 bans
Phoenix
219 picks · 326 bans
Dark Willow
206 picks · 106 bans
Tusk
204 picks · 184 bans
Centaur Warrunner
197 picks · 273 bans
Treant Protector
195 picks · 392 bans
Kunkka
183 picks · 519 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 70%
Hero pool strength50% Klim Sani4
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total64% Team Klee
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct25:43
Klim Sani4 36%Team Klee 64%
The model gave 64% on Team Klee — the game was taken by Team Klee in 41:53.
Game 2prediction correct28:24
Klim Sani4 36%Team Klee 64%
The model gave 64% on Team Klee — the game was taken by Team Klee in 40:56.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Klee · 64%
Series resultTeam Klee 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2