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BLAST Slam IX. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Klim Sani4win 2:1
series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Team Lynxloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Klim Sani4

Dark Willow
Dark Willow
swedenstrong · 9 games
56%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
swedenstrong · 9 games
89%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Squad1x · 8 games
88%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvernsignature
Rein · 8 games
100%
Lycan
Lycanoften banned
mangekyou · 7 games
57%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
Squad1x · 6 games
67%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
swedenstrong · 5 games
100%
Broodmother
Broodmother
mangekyou · 4 games
75%

Team Lynx

Dark Willow
Dark Willow
QBFY · 33 games
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
QBFY · 31 game
52%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
kreker · 26 games
62%
Techies
Techies
kreker · 26 games
42%
Underlord
Underlordoften banned
VladikTheHtiviy · 26 games
54%
Rubick
Rubick
QBFY · 24 games
54%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
VladikTheHtiviy · 21 game
43%
Tidehunter
Tidehunter
VladikTheHtiviy · 19 games
42%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
482 picks · 319 bans
51%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
330 picks · 506 bans
57%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
317 picks · 388 bans
52%
Bane
Bane
314 picks · 438 bans
53%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
301 picks · 627 bans
50%
Mirana
Mirana
292 picks · 108 bans
52%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
284 picks · 118 bans
49%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
277 picks · 289 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)73% vs 52%
Hero pool strength62% Klim Sani4
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total63% Klim Sani4
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed28:13
Klim Sani4 63%Team Lynx 37%
The model gave 63% on Klim Sani4 — the game was taken by Team Lynx in 36:24.
Game 2prediction correct25:42
Klim Sani4 63%Team Lynx 37%
The model gave 63% on Klim Sani4 — the game was taken by Klim Sani4 in 52:45.
Game 3prediction correct23:40
Klim Sani4 63%Team Lynx 37%
The model gave 63% on Klim Sani4 — the game was taken by Klim Sani4 in 56:43.
Model check result
Model favoriteKlim Sani4 · 63%
Series resultKlim Sani4 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3