ESL One Kuala Lumpur 2023. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Klim Sani4
No games played over 6 months.
Yellow Submarine
Dark Willow
rue · 4 games
Phoenixoften banned
aik · 3 games
Svenoften banned
Satanic · 3 games
Grimstroke
rue · 2 games
Lycanoften banned
egxrdemxn · 2 games
Shadow Demon
rue · 2 games
Bloodseekeroften banned
Satanic · 1 game
Brewmasteroften banned
egxrdemxn · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Vengeful Spirit
216 picks · 271 bans
Grimstroke
180 picks · 171 bans
Pangolier
180 picks · 385 bans
Dark Willow
171 picks · 71 bans
Sven
170 picks · 246 bans
Earthshaker
167 picks · 166 bans
Earth Spirit
151 picks · 241 bans
Phoenix
149 picks · 196 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 40%
Hero pool strength60% Klim Sani4
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% Klim Sani4
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Klim Sani4 64%Yellow Submarine 36%
The model gave 64% on Klim Sani4 — the game was taken by Klim Sani4.
Game 2prediction correct
Klim Sani4 64%Yellow Submarine 36%
The model gave 64% on Klim Sani4 — the game was taken by Klim Sani4.
Model check result
Model favoriteKlim Sani4 · 64%
Series resultKlim Sani4 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2