DreamLeague Season 27. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Kopitewin 1:0series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 1:0
BBBuyBack Brosloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Kopite
Ancient Apparition
Bombi · 2 games
Clockwerk
Bombi · 2 games
Dragon Knight
GaN- · 2 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
GaN- · 2 games
Huskaroften banned
GaN- · 2 games
Oracle
Bombi · 2 games
Puckoften banned
GaN- · 2 games
Batrideroften banned
Bombi · 1 game
BuyBack Bros
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Shadow Shaman
298 picks · 192 bans
Puck
295 picks · 683 bans
Dark Willow
260 picks · 110 bans
Tusk
258 picks · 258 bans
Dawnbreaker
257 picks · 636 bans
Nature's Prophet
251 picks · 531 bans
Disruptor
247 picks · 211 bans
Marci
245 picks · 560 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 50%
Hero pool strength54% BuyBack Bros
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% Kopite
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Kopite 60%BuyBack Bros 40%
The model gave 60% on Kopite — the game was taken by Kopite.
Model check result
Model favoriteKopite · 60%
Series resultKopite 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1