The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Kopiteloss 0:1series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Team Nemesiswin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Kopite
No games played over 6 months.
Team Nemesis
Dark Willow
Jing · 2 games
Morphlingoften banned
Akashi · 2 games
Batrideroften banned
Jing · 1 game
Bristlebackoften banned
Raven · 1 game
Centaur Warrunner
Raven · 1 game
Dazzleoften banned
Raven · 1 game
Doomoften banned
Raven · 1 game
Kunkkaoften banned
Mac · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
479 picks · 446 bans
Tiny
470 picks · 540 bans
Ringmaster
442 picks · 222 bans
Terrorblade
346 picks · 659 bans
Storm Spirit
305 picks · 452 bans
Ancient Apparition
297 picks · 678 bans
Tusk
289 picks · 232 bans
Windranger
283 picks · 86 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 56%
Hero pool strength58% Team Nemesis
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% Team Nemesis
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Kopite 43%Team Nemesis 57%
The model gave 57% on Team Nemesis — the game was taken by Team Nemesis.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Nemesis · 57%
Series resultTeam Nemesis 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1