Riyadh Masters 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Kukuyswin 1:0series probability
89%11%
probability at match start · final 1:0
HH1N1loss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Kukuys
Earthshaker
Armel · 6 games
Clockwerk
Jing · 5 games
Tinyoften banned
Jing · 4 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Yowe · 3 games
Earth Spirit
Yowe · 3 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
Gabbi · 3 games
Morphlingoften banned
Yowe · 3 games
Puckoften banned
Armel · 3 games
H1N1
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
482 picks · 447 bans
Tiny
473 picks · 552 bans
Ringmaster
444 picks · 227 bans
Terrorblade
348 picks · 681 bans
Storm Spirit
312 picks · 462 bans
Ancient Apparition
299 picks · 694 bans
Tusk
297 picks · 245 bans
Windranger
288 picks · 86 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 40%
Hero pool strength52% H1N1
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total89% Kukuys
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct24:9
Kukuys 89%H1N1 11%
The model gave 89% on Kukuys — the game was taken by Kukuys in 31:08.
Model check result
Model favoriteKukuys · 89%
Series resultKukuys 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1