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Pinnacle Cup: Malta Vibes #1 · BO3
result vs prediction
KZ TEAMloss 0:2
series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 0:2
cybercatswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

KZ TEAM

Snapfire
Snapfire
SsaSpartan · 28 games
39%
Earthshaker
Earthshaker
dEsire · 24 games
58%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
dEsire · 23 games
57%
Rubick
Rubick
dEsire · 21 game
48%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
W1sh- · 19 games
53%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
SkyLark · 18 games
56%
Tiny
Tinysignature
dEsire · 18 games
78%
Viper
Vipersignature
SkyLark · 17 games
76%

cybercats

Tiny
Tiny
Chira JUNIOR · 11 games
45%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
forcemajor · 10 games
40%
Lycan
Lycanoften banned
zenica · 9 games
22%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
forcemajor · 9 games
67%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
jesv · 8 games
38%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Alberkaaa · 8 games
50%
Rubick
Rubick
jesv · 7 games
29%
Techies
Techies
jesv · 7 games
29%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
887 picks · 616 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
633 picks · 440 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
536 picks · 433 bans
47%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
535 picks · 850 bans
54%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
534 picks · 544 bans
55%
Snapfire
Snapfire
477 picks · 329 bans
46%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
464 picks · 998 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
436 picks · 314 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 47%
Hero pool strength58% KZ TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% cybercats
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct2:28
KZ TEAM 46%cybercats 54%
The model gave 54% on cybercats — the game was taken by cybercats in 24:13.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Timbersaw
TimbersawMr. Luck
44% · 137 games55% · 74 games
MiranaAlberkaaa
Mirana
Sniper
SniperG.T.I
39% · 77 games64% · 10 games
Outworld DestroyerChira JUNIOR
Outworld Destroyer
58% · 34 games
LycanDkFogas
Lycan
58% · 37 games
Disruptorjesv
Disruptor
61% · 59 games
Marciforcemajor
Marci
Game 2prediction correct13:37
KZ TEAM 47%cybercats 53%
The model gave 53% on cybercats — the game was taken by cybercats in 31:40.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Timbersaw
TimbersawMr. Luck
52% · 253 games55% · 23 games
NecrophosAlberkaaa
Necrophos
Pangolier
PangolierG.T.I
51% · 482 games41% · 116 games
EnchantressDkFogas
Enchantress
52% · 279 games
TinyChira JUNIOR
Tiny
49% · 123 games
Dragon Knightforcemajor
Dragon Knight
46% · 194 games
Rubickjesv
Rubick
Model check result
Model favoritecybercats · 59%
Series resultcybercats 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2