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BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
KZ TEAMloss 0:2
series probability
25%75%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Tundra Esportswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

KZ TEAM

Grimstroke
Grimstrokeoften banned
SsaSpartan · 17 games
59%
Rubick
Rubick
dEsire · 16 games
38%
Muerta
Muertaoften banned
Astral · 15 games
53%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
Otaker · 13 games
54%
Oracle
Oracle
SsaSpartan · 13 games
54%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
SsaSpartan · 13 games
46%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
W1sh- · 11 games
73%
Tusk
Tusk
SsaSpartan · 11 games
45%

Tundra Esports

Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Nine · 11 games
73%
Doom
Doomoften banned
33 · 10 games
30%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
Sneyking · 10 games
70%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
Topson · 10 games
70%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
Sneyking · 9 games
67%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritoften banned
Topson · 8 games
50%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Aui_2000 · 8 games
38%
Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
33 · 7 games
43%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
274 picks · 451 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
252 picks · 394 bans
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
245 picks · 337 bans
53%
Muerta
Muerta
227 picks · 317 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
218 picks · 207 bans
47%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
217 picks · 103 bans
52%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
199 picks · 501 bans
53%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
195 picks · 369 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 52%
Hero pool strength50% KZ TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total75% Tundra Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct6:21
KZ TEAM 37%Tundra Esports 63%
The model gave 63% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 19:13.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Faceless Void
Faceless VoidOtaker
50% · 123 games51% · 148 games
Templar AssassinPure~
Templar Assassin
Pudge
PudgeSkyLark
44% · 32 games46% · 83 games
InvokerTopson
Invoker
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritSupream^
52% · 158 games55% · 214 games
TimbersawMinD_ContRoL
Timbersaw
Pugna
PugnaSsaSpartan
47% · 144 games58% · 63 games
ChenWhitemon
Chen
Techies
TechiesAstral
45% · 141 game51% · 90 games
Muerta9Class
Muerta
Game 2prediction correct24:47
KZ TEAM 38%Tundra Esports 62%
The model gave 62% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 28:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Faceless Void
Faceless VoidOtaker
60% · 121 game43% · 88 games
AlchemistPure~
Alchemist
Puck
PuckSupream^
51% · 133 games39% · 93 games
MarsMinD_ContRoL
Mars
Magnus
MagnusSkyLark
50% · 159 games48% · 130 games
InvokerTopson
Invoker
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetSsaSpartan
59% · 148 games48% · 183 games
Techies9Class
Techies
Hoodwink
HoodwinkAstral
50% · 38 games50% · 105 games
Vengeful SpiritWhitemon
Vengeful Spirit
Model check result
Model favoriteTundra Esports · 75%
Series resultTundra Esports 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2