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ESL One Raleigh 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
HULIGANIloss 0:2
series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 0:2
9Pandaswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

HULIGANI

Batrider
Batrideroften banned
queezy · 27 games
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Panto · 22 games
45%
Puck
Pucksignature
Mirage · 20 games
65%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Panto · 19 games
63%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
v1olent- · 17 games
47%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Alberkaaa · 16 games
56%
Snapfire
Snapfire
OneJey · 16 games
50%
Chen
Chensignature
Panto · 15 games
80%

9Pandas

Tiny
Tinysignature
erase · 17 games
71%
Undying
Undyingsignature
Solo · 15 games
73%
Elder Titan
Elder Titansignature
Solo · 13 games
69%
Lion
Lionsignature
lupsione · 13 games
62%
Muerta
Muerta
jesv · 12 games
42%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
erase · 12 games
58%
Tidehunter
Tidehuntersignature
laise · 12 games
67%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Solo · 11 games
18%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
Muerta
477 picks · 396 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
443 picks · 553 bans
54%
Batrider
Batrider
404 picks · 508 bans
50%
Lion
Lion
399 picks · 210 bans
54%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
393 picks · 650 bans
54%
Phoenix
Phoenix
389 picks · 433 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
366 picks · 583 bans
44%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
353 picks · 894 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)41% vs 54%
Hero pool strength51% 9Pandas
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total51% 9Pandas
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct16:38
HULIGANI 50%9Pandas 50%
The model gave 50% on 9Pandas — the game was taken by 9Pandas in 36:21.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lifestealer
Lifestealerv1olent-
57% · 72 games49% · 51 game
Phantom AssassinV-Tune
Phantom Assassin
Monkey King
Monkey KingAlberkaaa
57% · 137 games49% · 147 games
Dawnbreakerlaise
Dawnbreaker
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritMirage
42% · 147 games48% · 237 games
Storm Spiriterase
Storm Spirit
Enchantress
EnchantressRESPECT
46% · 196 games53% · 125 games
Elder TitanSolo
Elder Titan
Batrider
Batriderqueezy
47% · 294 games50% · 286 games
Lionlupsione
Lion
Game 2prediction missed11:20
HULIGANI 50%9Pandas 50%
The model gave 50% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by 9Pandas in 34:43.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Monkey King
Monkey Kingv1olent-
51% · 117 games49% · 227 games
LunaV-Tune
Luna
Tiny
TinyMirage
55% · 233 games42% · 151 game
Dawnbreakerlaise
Dawnbreaker
Doom
DoomAlberkaaa
44% · 147 games50% · 216 games
Invokererase
Invoker
Chen
ChenRESPECT
63% · 73 games49% · 124 games
Elder TitanSolo
Elder Titan
Lion
Lionqueezy
50% · 201 game48% · 53 games
Shadow Shamanlupsione
Shadow Shaman
Model check result
Model favorite9Pandas · 51%
Series result9Pandas 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 2