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PGL Wallachia 2024 Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
HULIGANIloss 1:2
series probability
73%27%
probability at match start · final 1:2
beastcoastwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

HULIGANI

Dark Willow
Dark Willow
OneJey · 22 games
41%
Rubick
Rubick
Panto · 18 games
44%
Batrider
Batridersignature
OneJey · 17 games
65%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Panto · 16 games
75%
Snapfire
Snapfire
OneJey · 16 games
56%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
OneJey · 15 games
33%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
re1bl · 14 games
57%
Windranger
Windrangeroften banned
re1bl · 14 games
57%

beastcoast

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
342 picks · 294 bans
53%
Jakiro
Jakiro
331 picks · 253 bans
45%
Pangolier
Pangolier
327 picks · 434 bans
48%
Enchantress
Enchantress
313 picks · 530 bans
51%
Rubick
Rubick
301 picks · 289 bans
50%
Windranger
Windranger
296 picks · 424 bans
52%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
294 picks · 473 bans
46%
Sand King
Sand King
293 picks · 795 bans
57%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)71% vs 33%
Hero pool strength53% HULIGANI
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total73% HULIGANI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct42:23
HULIGANI 73%beastcoast 27%
The model gave 73% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 55:43.
Game 2prediction missed8:25
HULIGANI 73%beastcoast 27%
The model gave 73% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by beastcoast in 27:47.
Game 3prediction missed23:39
HULIGANI 73%beastcoast 27%
The model gave 73% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by beastcoast in 32:16.
Model check result
Model favoriteHULIGANI · 73%
Series resultbeastcoast 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3