Leon Masters #1 · BO2
result vs prediction
HULIGANIwin 1:0series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 1:0
DBDudley boysloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
HULIGANI
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Bb3px · 23 games
Windrangeroften banned
re1bl · 22 games
Rubick
OneJey · 21 game
Dark Willowoften banned
OneJey · 20 games
Crystal Maidensignature
Panto · 18 games
Hoodwink
OneJey · 18 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Bb3px · 17 games
Svensignature
RAMZES666 · 17 games
Dudley boys
Rubick
Pablo · 3 games
Snapfire
Panda · 3 games
Sven
Panda · 3 games
Razoroften banned
Shad · 2 games
Alchemistoften banned
Shad · 1 game
Brewmasteroften banned
BOOM · 1 game
Doomoften banned
MinD_ContRoL · 1 game
Monkey Kingoften banned
Adzantick · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
375 picks · 759 bans
Hoodwink
346 picks · 327 bans
Rubick
343 picks · 235 bans
Weaver
336 picks · 691 bans
Clockwerk
318 picks · 469 bans
Gyrocopter
307 picks · 377 bans
Pangolier
303 picks · 517 bans
Phoenix
287 picks · 607 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)49% vs 29%
Hero pool strength54% HULIGANI
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% HULIGANI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
HULIGANI 59%Dudley boys 41%
The model gave 59% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI.
Model check result
Model favoriteHULIGANI · 59%
Series resultHULIGANI 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1