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FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
HULIGANIwin 2:0
series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Hydraloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

HULIGANI

Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Panto · 20 games
65%
Puck
Pucksignature
Mirage · 17 games
65%
Snapfire
Snapfire
OneJey · 17 games
53%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Hellscream · 16 games
50%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
v1olent- · 14 games
43%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
v1olent- · 14 games
57%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Panto · 13 games
54%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
OneJey · 13 games
54%

Hydra

Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
Astral · 10 games
70%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
selfhate · 8 games
50%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Ethereal · 8 games
25%
Underlord
Underlord
Actor · 7 games
29%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Actor · 5 games
40%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Actor · 5 games
40%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Ethereal · 5 games
60%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Actor · 5 games
20%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
486 picks · 607 bans
49%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
459 picks · 533 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
390 picks · 575 bans
48%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
378 picks · 190 bans
51%
Batrider
Batrider
366 picks · 406 bans
51%
Muerta
Muerta
360 picks · 268 bans
50%
Invoker
Invoker
336 picks · 921 bans
50%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
334 picks · 699 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 50%
Hero pool strength56% HULIGANI
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total60% HULIGANI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct21:7
HULIGANI 54%Hydra 46%
The model gave 54% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 25:29.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
Morphlingv1olent-
50% · 163 games43% · 156 games
Terrorbladeselfhate
Terrorblade
Lina
LinaMirage
47% · 65 games55% · 175 games
InvokerEthereal
Invoker
Mars
MarsAlberkaaa
54% · 126 games53% · 127 games
BristlebackActor
Bristleback
Batrider
Batriderqueezy
50% · 204 games49% · 142 games
Muertaprblms
Muerta
Lich
LichMalady
50% · 42 games
Game 2prediction correct21:3
HULIGANI 53%Hydra 47%
The model gave 53% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 16:05.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Naga Siren
Naga Sirenv1olent-
56% · 83 games48% · 302 games
Morphlingselfhate
Morphling
Razor
RazorMirage
40% · 134 games55% · 127 games
EnigmaActor
Enigma
Primal Beast
Primal BeastAlberkaaa
44% · 146 games59% · 168 games
Monkey KingEthereal
Monkey King
Batrider
Batriderqueezy
50% · 237 games48% · 50 games
Shadow Shamanprblms
Shadow Shaman
Lich
LichMalady
47% · 47 games
Model check result
Model favoriteHULIGANI · 60%
Series resultHULIGANI 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2