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Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
HULIGANIwin 2:0
series probability
80%20%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Inner Circleloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

HULIGANI

Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
slimeyao · 41 game
73%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
Bb3px · 39 games
54%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
sayuw · 38 games
58%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Mirage · 36 games
56%
Tiny
Tiny
erase · 32 games
53%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
RESPECT · 31 game
52%
Puck
Pucksignature
Mirage · 31 game
77%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Bb3px · 30 games
73%

Inner Circle

Tiny
Tiny
Jing · 22 games
55%
Warlock
Warlock
Se · 22 games
41%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Fernans · 21 game
57%
Tusk
Tusk
Daze · 19 games
53%
Puck
Puckoften banned
niche · 18 games
50%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Se · 17 games
41%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
niche · 14 games
50%
Underlord
Underlordoften banned
laise · 14 games
36%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
586 picks · 356 bans
54%
Phoenix
Phoenix
486 picks · 578 bans
50%
Rubick
Rubick
471 picks · 251 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
443 picks · 384 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
394 picks · 546 bans
48%
Puck
Puck
334 picks · 899 bans
52%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
327 picks · 833 bans
47%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
316 picks · 467 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 46%
Hero pool strength57% HULIGANI
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total80% HULIGANI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct0:1
HULIGANI 69%Inner Circle 31%
The model gave 69% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 40:00.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendssnovv1
50% · 265 games45% · 322 games
Tiny423
Tiny
Invoker
InvokerMirage
53% · 144 games45% · 159 games
Dawnbreakerlaise
Dawnbreaker
Axe
AxeCorrupted
56% · 284 games44% · 276 games
PangolierStojkov
Pangolier
Mirana
Miranasayuw
51% · 36 games42% · 18 games
Winter WyvernSe
Winter Wyvern
Bane
BaneRESPECT
64% · 236 games45% · 190 games
RingmasterFernans
Ringmaster
Game 2prediction correct0:0
HULIGANI 68%Inner Circle 32%
The model gave 68% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 31:36.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger
Drow Rangerssnovv1
62% · 66 games48% · 181 game
Shadow Fiend423
Shadow Fiend
Snapfire
SnapfireMirage
52% · 366 games54% · 223 games
Storm SpiritStojkov
Storm Spirit
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerCorrupted
44% · 255 games43% · 148 games
Axelaise
Axe
Mirana
Miranasayuw
50% · 59 games47% · 140 games
Dark WillowFernans
Dark Willow
Bane
BaneRESPECT
53% · 231 game47% · 285 games
TuskSe
Tusk
Model check result
Model favoriteHULIGANI · 80%
Series resultHULIGANI 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2