PGL Wallachia 2024 Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
HULIGANIloss 1:2series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Invictus Gamingwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
HULIGANI
Dark Willow
OneJey · 21 game
Rubick
Panto · 18 games
Batridersignature
OneJey · 17 games
Enchantresssignature
Panto · 15 games
Snapfiresignature
OneJey · 15 games
Tinyoften banned
OneJey · 15 games
Windrangeroften banned
re1bl · 14 games
Pucksignature
Mirage · 13 games
Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
342 picks · 290 bans
Jakiro
334 picks · 253 bans
Pangolier
328 picks · 434 bans
Enchantress
313 picks · 523 bans
Rubick
302 picks · 292 bans
Windranger
298 picks · 424 bans
Dragon Knight
295 picks · 473 bans
Sand King
289 picks · 793 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)73% vs 62%
Hero pool strength54% HULIGANI
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total65% HULIGANI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct16:7
HULIGANI 65%Invictus Gaming 35%
The model gave 65% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 25:50.
Game 2prediction missed21:26
HULIGANI 65%Invictus Gaming 35%
The model gave 65% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by Invictus Gaming in 46:56.
Game 3prediction missed5:32
HULIGANI 65%Invictus Gaming 35%
The model gave 65% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by Invictus Gaming in 37:31.
Model check result
Model favoriteHULIGANI · 65%
Series resultInvictus Gaming 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3