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CIS Battle 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
HULIGANIwin 2:0
series probability
73%27%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Kalmychataloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

HULIGANI

Snapfire
Snapfire
RESPECT · 27 games
48%
Doom
Doomsignature
v1olent- · 22 games
64%
Chen
Chenoften banned
RESPECT · 21 game
52%
Earthshaker
Earthshakersignature
erase · 21 game
67%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Bb3px · 19 games
58%
Mars
Marssignature
Bb3px · 19 games
63%
Puck
Puckoften banned
erase · 19 games
42%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
slimeyao · 18 games
56%

Kalmychata

Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Ankou · 20 games
55%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
raregods · 18 games
50%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritsignature
WoE · 18 games
61%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painsignature
Ethereal · 16 games
63%
Sven
Svensignature
rincyq · 16 games
69%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
Ethereal · 15 games
60%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
rincyq · 15 games
67%
Bounty Hunter
Bounty Huntersignature
raregods · 14 games
86%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
727 picks · 347 bans
54%
Disruptor
Disruptor
599 picks · 633 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
507 picks · 261 bans
50%
Puck
Puck
427 picks · 1174 bans
50%
Mars
Mars
420 picks · 696 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
420 picks · 262 bans
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
405 picks · 427 bans
52%
Jakiro
Jakiro
358 picks · 218 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 54%
Hero pool strength53% Kalmychata
Head-to-head6 – 3
Model total73% HULIGANI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct26:9
HULIGANI 73%Kalmychata 27%
The model gave 73% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 35:52.
Game 2prediction correct28:15
HULIGANI 73%Kalmychata 27%
The model gave 73% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 43:22.
Model check result
Model favoriteHULIGANI · 73%
Series resultHULIGANI 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2