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DreamLeague Season 29. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
HULIGANIwin 2:0
series probability
73%27%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Nemiga Gamingloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

HULIGANI

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Bb3px · 43 games
72%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
slimeyao · 42 games
71%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Bb3px · 41 game
49%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
RESPECT · 37 games
49%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Magesignature
slimeyao · 37 games
68%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Mirage · 34 games
59%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
Bb3px · 32 games
56%
Tiny
Tiny
erase · 30 games
57%

Nemiga Gaming

Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
VaniLLl · 18 games
39%
Phoenix
Phoenix
VaniLLl · 12 games
50%
Puck
Puckoften banned
young G · 12 games
58%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Covisnine · 10 games
50%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
ariel · 10 games
60%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Covisnine · 10 games
50%
Disruptor
Disruptor
VaniLLl · 9 games
56%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
young G · 9 games
44%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
642 picks · 691 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
522 picks · 455 bans
48%
Tusk
Tusk
497 picks · 417 bans
51%
Warlock
Warlock
435 picks · 288 bans
48%
Phoenix
Phoenix
427 picks · 419 bans
54%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
404 picks · 1106 bans
56%
Puck
Puck
394 picks · 856 bans
52%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
384 picks · 627 bans
57%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 56%
Hero pool strength55% HULIGANI
Head-to-head5 – 3
Model total73% HULIGANI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct32:24
HULIGANI 63%Nemiga Gaming 37%
The model gave 63% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 40:46.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
Lunassnovv1
50% · 101 game57% · 85 games
Faceless Voidselfhate
Faceless Void
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainMirage
45% · 286 games46% · 274 games
BeastmasterCovisnine
Beastmaster
Tidehunter
TidehunterCorrupted
48% · 194 games45% · 89 games
Viperyoung G
Viper
Rubick
RubickRESPECT
56% · 129 games54% · 286 games
Hoodwinkariel
Hoodwink
Batrider
Batridersayuw
52% · 336 games50% · 312 games
DisruptorVaniLLl
Disruptor
Game 2prediction correct35:18
HULIGANI 64%Nemiga Gaming 36%
The model gave 64% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 46:33.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Muerta
Muertassnovv1
50% · 256 games50% · 225 games
Templar Assassinselfhate
Templar Assassin
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritMirage
51% · 525 games46% · 256 games
Void Spirityoung G
Void Spirit
Tidehunter
TidehunterCorrupted
53% · 306 games50% · 341 game
BatriderCovisnine
Batrider
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksayuw
55% · 455 games50% · 274 games
Shadow Shamanariel
Shadow Shaman
Oracle
OracleRESPECT
48% · 91 game47% · 537 games
JakiroVaniLLl
Jakiro
Model check result
Model favoriteHULIGANI · 73%
Series resultHULIGANI 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2