ESL One Birmingham 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
HULIGANIwin 1:0series probability
95%5%
probability at match start · final 1:0
PKPandora Krisloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
HULIGANI
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Bb3px · 37 games
Marsoften banned
Bb3px · 36 games
Chensignature
RESPECT · 33 games
Pugnasignature
slimeyao · 32 games
Shadow Demonsignature
slimeyao · 30 games
Snapfire
RESPECT · 29 games
Tusk
slimeyao · 29 games
Warlock
RESPECT · 29 games
Pandora Kris
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
548 picks · 744 bans
Tusk
489 picks · 352 bans
Dragon Knight
465 picks · 640 bans
Centaur Warrunner
439 picks · 541 bans
Shadow Demon
373 picks · 644 bans
Gyrocopter
362 picks · 550 bans
Hoodwink
349 picks · 158 bans
Mars
348 picks · 468 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 29%
Hero pool strength57% HULIGANI
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total95% HULIGANI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct37:18
HULIGANI 95%Pandora Kris 5%
The model gave 95% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 32:31.
Model check result
Model favoriteHULIGANI · 95%
Series resultHULIGANI 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1