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European Pro League Season 32 · BO3
result vs prediction
HULIGANIwin 2:0
series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Passion UAloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

HULIGANI

Snapfire
Snapfire
RESPECT · 25 games
48%
Doom
Doomsignature
v1olent- · 21 game
62%
Earthshaker
Earthshakersignature
erase · 21 game
67%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
slimeyao · 18 games
56%
Naga Siren
Naga Sirenoften banned
RESPECT · 18 games
50%
Puck
Puckoften banned
erase · 18 games
44%
Warlock
Warlock
RESPECT · 18 games
50%
Chen
Chenoften banned
RESPECT · 17 games
47%

Passion UA

Tiny
Tinysignature
QBFY · 33 games
67%
Snapfire
Snapfire
kreker · 25 games
48%
Jakiro
Jakiro
kreker · 23 games
57%
Leshrac
Leshrac
Moonlight · 22 games
55%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Batyuk · 21 game
43%
Silencer
Silencersignature
kreker · 21 game
67%
Ursa
Ursasignature
Crystallize · 21 game
67%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Crystallize · 20 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
706 picks · 344 bans
54%
Disruptor
Disruptor
590 picks · 621 bans
53%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
488 picks · 254 bans
51%
Puck
Puck
407 picks · 1152 bans
50%
Mars
Mars
400 picks · 681 bans
53%
Tusk
Tusk
398 picks · 255 bans
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
385 picks · 391 bans
51%
Pugna
Pugna
345 picks · 394 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 55%
Hero pool strength52% Passion UA
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total53% Passion UA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed23:13
HULIGANI 48%Passion UA 52%
The model gave 52% on Passion UA — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 30:24.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
Terrorbladev1olent-
44% · 233 games50% · 126 games
LifestealerCrystallize
Lifestealer
Lina
Linaerase
56% · 84 games52% · 345 games
PangolierBatyuk
Pangolier
Primal Beast
Primal BeastBb3px
39% · 144 games63% · 51 game
HuskarMoonlight
Huskar
Jakiro
JakiroRESPECT
47% · 246 games59% · 57 games
Nyx AssassinQBFY
Nyx Assassin
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breakerslimeyao
49% · 23 games49% · 151 game
Disruptorkreker
Disruptor
Game 2prediction missed32:20
HULIGANI 48%Passion UA 52%
The model gave 52% on Passion UA — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 34:04.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Broodmother
Broodmotherv1olent-
56% · 46 games47% · 152 games
UrsaCrystallize
Ursa
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerBb3px
53% · 238 games54% · 195 games
Nature's ProphetMoonlight
Nature's Prophet
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knighterase
46% · 366 games50% · 104 games
TidehunterBatyuk
Tidehunter
Chen
ChenRESPECT
56% · 179 games50% · 224 games
Jakirokreker
Jakiro
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mageslimeyao
48% · 51 game42% · 205 games
HoodwinkQBFY
Hoodwink
Model check result
Model favoritePassion UA · 53%
Series resultHULIGANI 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2