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The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
HULIGANIwin 1:0
series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Rune Eatersloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

HULIGANI

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
sayuw · 39 games
59%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
Bb3px · 38 games
53%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Mirage · 36 games
58%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
sayuw · 36 games
75%
Puck
Pucksignature
Mirage · 32 games
78%
Tiny
Tiny
erase · 32 games
53%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
RESPECT · 30 games
50%
Rubick
Rubick
sayuw · 30 games
57%

Rune Eaters

Tusk
Tusk
ani-san · 39 games
49%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
ani-san · 37 games
70%
Tiny
Tiny
ani-san · 36 games
39%
Jakiro
Jakiro
monodrama · 34 games
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Ethereal · 25 games
48%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
Ankou · 23 games
57%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Ankou · 23 games
57%
Viper
Viperoften banned
Ethereal · 22 games
55%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
621 picks · 403 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
525 picks · 290 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
484 picks · 580 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
467 picks · 388 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
426 picks · 600 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
345 picks · 975 bans
56%
Tusk
Tusk
342 picks · 287 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
335 picks · 506 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 51%
Hero pool strength56% HULIGANI
Head-to-head3 – 1
Model total68% HULIGANI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct57:26
HULIGANI 64%Rune Eaters 36%
The model gave 64% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 45:47.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger
Drow Rangerssnovv1
56% · 43 games39% · 406 games
TinyDarkLord^
Tiny
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritMirage
55% · 411 games47% · 202 games
SnapfireCopy
Snapfire
Largo
LargoCorrupted
57% · 144 games47% · 92 games
Dark SeerMalik
Dark Seer
Clockwerk
Clockwerksayuw
50% · 209 games48% · 63 games
Venomanceraik
Venomancer
Bane
BaneRESPECT
58% · 217 games46% · 261 game
BatriderEkki
Batrider
Model check result
Model favoriteHULIGANI · 68%
Series resultHULIGANI 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1