The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
HULIGANIwin 1:0series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Team Bald Rebornloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
HULIGANI
Hoodwink
sayuw · 38 games
Slardaroften banned
Bb3px · 38 games
Shadow Demonsignature
sayuw · 36 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Mirage · 35 games
Tiny
erase · 32 games
Phoenixoften banned
RESPECT · 30 games
Pucksignature
Mirage · 30 games
Rubick
sayuw · 30 games
Team Bald Reborn
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
606 picks · 387 bans
Rubick
507 picks · 280 bans
Phoenix
480 picks · 577 bans
Tiny
462 picks · 382 bans
Pangolier
417 picks · 582 bans
Puck
339 picks · 944 bans
Tusk
338 picks · 276 bans
Ember Spirit
329 picks · 490 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 50%
Hero pool strength57% HULIGANI
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total76% HULIGANI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct33:35
HULIGANI 66%Team Bald Reborn 34%
The model gave 66% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 1:10:16.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Rangerssnovv1
Nature's ProphetShad
PuckMirage
TinySancity
Primal BeastCorrupted
DoomXibbe
ChenRESPECT
Treant Protectorbengan
Largosayuw
Lionmrls
Model check result
Model favoriteHULIGANI · 76%
Series resultHULIGANI 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1