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CCT Season 2 Series 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
HULIGANIwin 2:0
series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Lynxloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

HULIGANI

Mars
Marsoften banned
Bb3px · 47 games
53%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Bb3px · 42 games
67%
Chen
Chensignature
RESPECT · 39 games
67%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Magesignature
slimeyao · 36 games
69%
Tusk
Tusk
slimeyao · 35 games
54%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
slimeyao · 34 games
56%
Snapfire
Snapfire
RESPECT · 34 games
50%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
RESPECT · 33 games
45%

Team Lynx

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
VladikTheHtiviy · 25 games
68%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
7jesu · 15 games
60%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
mellojul · 15 games
73%
Sand King
Sand King
mellojul · 14 games
36%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
VladikTheHtiviy · 14 games
36%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
mellojul · 12 games
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
QBFY · 12 games
75%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
7jesu · 11 games
45%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
614 picks · 958 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
520 picks · 420 bans
47%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
461 picks · 630 bans
57%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
433 picks · 968 bans
54%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
419 picks · 528 bans
48%
Warlock
Warlock
414 picks · 253 bans
47%
Tiny
Tiny
413 picks · 463 bans
47%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
394 picks · 653 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 59%
Hero pool strength51% HULIGANI
Head-to-head0 – 3
Model total62% Team Lynx
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed30:11
HULIGANI 43%Team Lynx 57%
The model gave 57% on Team Lynx — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 32:26.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Puck
PuckMirage
54% · 329 games40% · 106 games
Weaver7jesu
Weaver
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightv1olent-
49% · 307 games54% · 110 games
BrewmasterVladikTheHtiviy
Brewmaster
Slardar
SlardarBb3px
42% · 166 games56% · 446 games
Ember Spiritmellojul
Ember Spirit
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonslimeyao
58% · 226 games50% · 219 games
Dazzlekreker
Dazzle
Disruptor
DisruptorRESPECT
44% · 224 games51% · 371 game
RingmasterQBFY
Ringmaster
Game 2prediction missed34:18
HULIGANI 43%Team Lynx 57%
The model gave 57% on Team Lynx — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 40:43.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinv1olent-
56% · 99 games52% · 111 games
Invokermellojul
Invoker
Viper
ViperMirage
50% · 44 games49% · 107 games
Lifestealer7jesu
Lifestealer
Slardar
SlardarBb3px
49% · 105 games50% · 86 games
RazorVladikTheHtiviy
Razor
Largo
Largoslimeyao
47% · 50 games45% · 180 games
Phoenixkreker
Phoenix
Jakiro
JakiroRESPECT
49% · 263 games51% · 77 games
Nyx AssassinQBFY
Nyx Assassin
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Lynx · 62%
Series resultHULIGANI 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2