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The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
HULIGANIwin 1:0
series probability
84%16%
probability at match start · final 1:0
VP.Prodigyloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

HULIGANI

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
sayuw · 39 games
59%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
Bb3px · 38 games
53%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Mirage · 36 games
58%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
sayuw · 36 games
75%
Tiny
Tiny
erase · 32 games
53%
Puck
Pucksignature
Mirage · 31 game
77%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
RESPECT · 30 games
50%
Rubick
Rubick
sayuw · 30 games
57%

VP.Prodigy

Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
JANTER · 28 games
64%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
raregods · 26 games
38%
Tiny
Tiny
raregods · 25 games
52%
Bounty Hunter
Bounty Hunter
raregods · 17 games
59%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
Katsura · 17 games
59%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
takizawa · 17 games
24%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Serenada · 16 games
50%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendsignature
cutie · 16 games
69%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
621 picks · 402 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
525 picks · 290 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
484 picks · 580 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
466 picks · 388 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
426 picks · 599 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
344 picks · 974 bans
56%
Tusk
Tusk
341 picks · 287 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
335 picks · 505 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 50%
Hero pool strength55% HULIGANI
Head-to-head3 – 1
Model total84% HULIGANI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct34:6
HULIGANI 69%VP.Prodigy 31%
The model gave 69% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 26:22.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger
Drow Rangerssnovv1
47% · 64 games50% · 512 games
Tinycutie
Tiny
Puck
PuckMirage
49% · 459 games46% · 339 games
Storm SpiritSerenada
Storm Spirit
Underlord
UnderlordCorrupted
53% · 259 games47% · 372 games
BatriderMiyaoo
Batrider
Ringmaster
Ringmastersayuw
54% · 281 game47% · 189 games
Clockwerkraregods
Clockwerk
Tusk
TuskRESPECT
49% · 567 games57% · 218 games
BaneJANTER
Bane
Model check result
Model favoriteHULIGANI · 84%
Series resultHULIGANI 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1