The International 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionLCLa Correntadaloss 0:2
series probability
30%70%
probability at match start · final 0:2
4A4 amigoswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
La Correntada
No games played over 6 months.
4 amigos
Puckoften banned
RCY · 5 games
Mirana
albinozebra · 4 games
Batrideroften banned
monkeys-forever · 3 games
Clinkz
Double King · 3 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Double King · 3 games
Gyrocopter
Double King · 3 games
Lifestealeroften banned
Double King · 3 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
RCY · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
482 picks · 227 bans
Tiny
457 picks · 750 bans
Gyrocopter
436 picks · 416 bans
Centaur Warrunner
434 picks · 632 bans
Batrider
402 picks · 742 bans
Rubick
383 picks · 168 bans
Dragon Knight
357 picks · 1026 bans
Pangolier
348 picks · 725 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 56%
Hero pool strength53% La Correntada
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total70% 4 amigos
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct13:37
La Correntada 30%4 amigos 70%
The model gave 70% on 4 amigos — the game was taken by 4 amigos in 27:22.
Game 2prediction correct40:48
La Correntada 30%4 amigos 70%
The model gave 70% on 4 amigos — the game was taken by 4 amigos in 52:27.
Model check result
Model favorite4 amigos · 70%
Series result4 amigos 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2