Elite League Season 2 - Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionLCLa Correntadaloss 0:2
series probability
19%81%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Apex Genesiswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
La Correntada
No games played over 6 months.
Apex Genesis
Pangolieroften banned
W1sh- · 8 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Fayde · 7 games
Gyrocoptersignature
Speeed · 7 games
Phoenixoften banned
YamSun · 7 games
Lifestealersignature
Sammyboy · 6 games
Shadow Demonsignature
YamSun · 6 games
Alchemistoften banned
Lowskill · 5 games
Dark Willowoften banned
Bignum · 5 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
419 picks · 613 bans
Gyrocopter
370 picks · 387 bans
Crystal Maiden
366 picks · 140 bans
Centaur Warrunner
360 picks · 468 bans
Dark Willow
321 picks · 342 bans
Pangolier
318 picks · 579 bans
Dragon Knight
313 picks · 645 bans
Rubick
312 picks · 158 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 53%
Hero pool strength54% Apex Genesis
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total81% Apex Genesis
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct28:8
La Correntada 19%Apex Genesis 81%
The model gave 81% on Apex Genesis — the game was taken by Apex Genesis in 21:33.
Game 2prediction correct19:29
La Correntada 19%Apex Genesis 81%
The model gave 81% on Apex Genesis — the game was taken by Apex Genesis in 40:53.
Model check result
Model favoriteApex Genesis · 81%
Series resultApex Genesis 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2