Riyadh Masters 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs predictionLCLa Correntadawin 1:0
series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Blue pikachuloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
La Correntada
No games played over 6 months.
Blue pikachu
Crystal Maiden
Alren · 2 games
Venomancer
Alren · 2 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Alren · 1 game
Phoenix
Alren · 1 game
Undyingoften banned
Alren · 1 game
Vengeful Spirit
Alren · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
467 picks · 222 bans
Tiny
413 picks · 644 bans
Gyrocopter
399 picks · 366 bans
Batrider
395 picks · 705 bans
Centaur Warrunner
395 picks · 566 bans
Rubick
368 picks · 159 bans
Pangolier
355 picks · 756 bans
Shadow Demon
330 picks · 937 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 44%
Hero pool strength52% La Correntada
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% Blue pikachu
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
La Correntada 47%Blue pikachu 53%
The model gave 53% on Blue pikachu — the game was taken by La Correntada.
Model check result
Model favoriteBlue pikachu · 53%
Series resultLa Correntada 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1