DreamLeague Season 23 - Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionLCLa Correntadawin 2:1
series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Sand King Gomezloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
La Correntada
No games played over 6 months.
Sand King Gomez
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
H1j4ck · 3 games
Morphlingoften banned
DaaD- · 3 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
N1NE · 3 games
Tusk
CHAAANNN · 3 games
Brewmasteroften banned
H1j4ck · 2 games
Crystal Maiden
Aretes · 2 games
Dark Willow
N1NE · 2 games
Grimstroke
CHAAANNN · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
377 picks · 350 bans
Centaur Warrunner
372 picks · 598 bans
Techies
363 picks · 287 bans
Mars
361 picks · 559 bans
Vengeful Spirit
347 picks · 338 bans
Batrider
343 picks · 706 bans
Hoodwink
327 picks · 195 bans
Tiny
325 picks · 340 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 50%
Hero pool strength55% La Correntada
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% Sand King Gomez
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed32:29
La Correntada 40%Sand King Gomez 60%
The model gave 60% on Sand King Gomez — the game was taken by La Correntada in 44:34.
Game 2prediction correct12:42
La Correntada 40%Sand King Gomez 60%
The model gave 60% on Sand King Gomez — the game was taken by Sand King Gomez in 26:27.
Game 3prediction missed39:46
La Correntada 40%Sand King Gomez 60%
The model gave 60% on Sand King Gomez — the game was taken by La Correntada in 1:02:43.
Model check result
Model favoriteSand King Gomez · 60%
Series resultLa Correntada 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3