DreamLeague Season 23 - Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionLCLa Correntadaloss 1:2
series probability
37%63%
probability at match start · final 1:2
SSoSteamwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
La Correntada
No games played over 6 months.
SoSteam
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
379 picks · 351 bans
Centaur Warrunner
361 picks · 579 bans
Mars
349 picks · 535 bans
Techies
347 picks · 273 bans
Vengeful Spirit
343 picks · 335 bans
Batrider
327 picks · 672 bans
Hoodwink
319 picks · 191 bans
Tiny
309 picks · 318 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% La Correntada
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total63% SoSteam
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct19:28
La Correntada 37%SoSteam 63%
The model gave 63% on SoSteam — the game was taken by SoSteam in 30:01.
Game 2prediction missed20:47
La Correntada 37%SoSteam 63%
The model gave 63% on SoSteam — the game was taken by La Correntada in 55:03.
Game 3prediction correct28:38
La Correntada 37%SoSteam 63%
The model gave 63% on SoSteam — the game was taken by SoSteam in 44:38.
Model check result
Model favoriteSoSteam · 63%
Series resultSoSteam 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3