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Elite League Season 2 - Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
La Correntadawin 2:0
series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The Hutloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

La Correntada

No games played over 6 months.

The Hut

Pudge
Pudgeoften banned
bgod · 2 games
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
bgod · 1 game
0%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
bgod · 1 game
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
418 picks · 609 bans
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
373 picks · 384 bans
50%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
360 picks · 144 bans
53%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
357 picks · 469 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
319 picks · 577 bans
51%
Rubick
Rubick
319 picks · 154 bans
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
316 picks · 663 bans
50%
Batrider
Batrider
315 picks · 436 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 50%
Hero pool strength51% The Hut
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total61% The Hut
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed34:36
La Correntada 39%The Hut 61%
The model gave 61% on The Hut — the game was taken by La Correntada in 43:43.
Game 2prediction missed29:12
La Correntada 39%The Hut 61%
The model gave 61% on The Hut — the game was taken by La Correntada in 17:31.
Model check result
Model favoriteThe Hut · 61%
Series resultLa Correntada 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2