The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
laparedwin 2:0series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Giorgia Whigham Worldloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
lapared
No games played over 6 months.
Giorgia Whigham World
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
476 picks · 452 bans
Tiny
458 picks · 531 bans
Ringmaster
438 picks · 215 bans
Terrorblade
342 picks · 624 bans
Storm Spirit
302 picks · 432 bans
Ancient Apparition
292 picks · 635 bans
Tusk
286 picks · 208 bans
Windranger
276 picks · 78 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% lapared
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Giorgia Whigham World
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed5:22
lapared 49%Giorgia Whigham World 51%
The model gave 51% on Giorgia Whigham World — the game was taken by lapared in 23:02.
Game 2prediction missed23:26
lapared 49%Giorgia Whigham World 51%
The model gave 51% on Giorgia Whigham World — the game was taken by lapared in 33:34.
Model check result
Model favoriteGiorgia Whigham World · 51%
Series resultlapared 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2