Largo ta druzi vs Ilbirs eSports — prediction I2ОК · Dota 2

arrow_backBack to match

The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO1

result vs prediction

LTLargo ta druziloss 0:1

series probability

17%83%

probability at match start · final 0:1

Ilbirs eSportswin 1:0

The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.

Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months

Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Largo ta druzi

No games played over 6 months.

Ilbirs eSports

Hoodwink

xsvampire · 7 games

29%

Marsoften banned

Norma · 7 games

29%

Void Spirit

niche · 7 games

29%

Beastmasteroften banned

egx · 6 games

33%

Underlordoften banned

Norma · 6 games

17%

Primal Beast

Norma · 5 games

60%

Tiny

xsvampire · 5 games

60%

Warlock

Undyne_ · 5 games

40%

Patch meta · 3 months

The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.

Hoodwink

606 picks · 387 bans

54%

Rubick

507 picks · 280 bans

50%

Phoenix

481 picks · 576 bans

51%

Tiny

463 picks · 384 bans

49%

Pangolier

416 picks · 582 bans

49%

Puck

340 picks · 946 bans

55%

Tusk

339 picks · 276 bans

54%

Ember Spirit

330 picks · 491 bans

50%

Prediction components

Form (series winrate)50% vs 41%

Hero pool strength56% Largo ta druzi

Head-to-head0 – 0

Model total83% Ilbirs eSports

Prediction by game vs result

Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.

Game 1prediction correct16:45

Largo ta druzi 32%Ilbirs eSports 68%

The model gave 68% on Ilbirs eSports — the game was taken by Ilbirs eSports in 27:44.

Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo