Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Южная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Lavawin 2:1series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Infinity Esportsloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Lava
No games played over 6 months.
Infinity Esports
Marssignature
Valquiria · 13 games
Weaveroften banned
Jupiter · 13 games
Invokeroften banned
mini-` · 11 games
Snapfire
Jupiter · 10 games
Treant Protector
Nuages · 9 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Benny · 7 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
mini-` · 7 games
Bane
Nuages · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
441 picks · 270 bans
Mars
398 picks · 543 bans
Death Prophet
312 picks · 601 bans
Weaver
312 picks · 403 bans
Tiny
308 picks · 350 bans
Queen of Pain
282 picks · 454 bans
Ember Spirit
278 picks · 392 bans
Kunkka
266 picks · 481 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 40%
Hero pool strength52% Lava
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total68% Lava
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteLava · 68%
Series resultLava 2:1
Series predictioncorrect