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Khaz Modan Cup Season 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
LBZSwin 2:0
series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Execrationloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

LBZS

Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Shanks · 13 games
46%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Shanks · 8 games
13%
Tusk
Tusk
CatYou · 8 games
25%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
Shanks · 6 games
50%
Mirana
Mirana
CatYou · 6 games
17%
Night Stalker
Night Stalkeroften banned
Molasses · 6 games
33%
Razor
Razoroften banned
Shanks · 6 games
33%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Molasses · 6 games
17%

Execration

Mars
Marsoften banned
Tino- · 17 games
35%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Palos · 17 games
53%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Tino- · 16 games
69%
Bane
Bane
RR · 12 games
33%
Mirana
Miranasignature
Shanks · 12 games
75%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
RR · 12 games
33%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
RR · 11 games
55%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
RR · 10 games
40%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
506 picks · 432 bans
49%
Mars
Mars
482 picks · 694 bans
48%
Bane
Bane
453 picks · 295 bans
59%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
438 picks · 533 bans
52%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
383 picks · 615 bans
56%
Pangolier
Pangolier
373 picks · 606 bans
51%
Sand King
Sand King
373 picks · 533 bans
55%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Light
346 picks · 753 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 39%
Hero pool strength57% Execration
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% LBZS
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
LBZS 59%Execration 41%
The model gave 59% on LBZS — the game was taken by LBZS.
Game 2prediction correct
LBZS 59%Execration 41%
The model gave 59% on LBZS — the game was taken by LBZS.
Model check result
Model favoriteLBZS · 59%
Series resultLBZS 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2