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Khaz Modan Cup Season 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
LBZSloss 0:2
series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Made in Philippineswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

LBZS

Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Shanks · 13 games
46%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Shanks · 8 games
13%
Tusk
Tusk
CatYou · 8 games
25%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
Shanks · 6 games
50%
Mirana
Mirana
CatYou · 6 games
17%
Night Stalker
Night Stalkeroften banned
Molasses · 6 games
33%
Razor
Razoroften banned
Shanks · 6 games
33%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Molasses · 6 games
17%

Made in Philippines

Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Rupido · 6 games
100%
Juggernaut
Juggernautoften banned
Ken · 5 games
80%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Rupido · 5 games
60%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Ken · 5 games
80%
Bane
Bane
Teehee · 3 games
100%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
JG · 3 games
67%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Rupido · 3 games
67%
Puck
Puckoften banned
JG · 3 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
505 picks · 432 bans
48%
Mars
Mars
482 picks · 695 bans
49%
Bane
Bane
452 picks · 295 bans
59%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
438 picks · 531 bans
52%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
383 picks · 614 bans
56%
Pangolier
Pangolier
373 picks · 604 bans
51%
Sand King
Sand King
373 picks · 532 bans
55%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
346 picks · 317 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 65%
Hero pool strength65% Made in Philippines
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% Made in Philippines
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
LBZS 43%Made in Philippines 57%
The model gave 57% on Made in Philippines — the game was taken by Made in Philippines.
Game 2prediction correct
LBZS 43%Made in Philippines 57%
The model gave 57% on Made in Philippines — the game was taken by Made in Philippines.
Model check result
Model favoriteMade in Philippines · 57%
Series resultMade in Philippines 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2