Khaz Modan Cup Season 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
LBZSwin 2:0series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Mist Walkerloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
LBZS
Death Prophetoften banned
Shanks · 13 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Shanks · 9 games
Tusk
CatYou · 8 games
Tiny
CatYou · 7 games
Hoodwink
CatYou · 6 games
Leshracoften banned
Shanks · 6 games
Mirana
CatYou · 6 games
Night Stalkeroften banned
Molasses · 6 games
Mist Walker
Invokeroften banned
Xy · 1 game
Leshracoften banned
Xy · 1 game
Puckoften banned
Xy · 1 game
Templar Assassinoften banned
Xy · 1 game
Venomanceroften banned
Xy · 1 game
Void Spiritoften banned
Xy · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
502 picks · 439 bans
Mars
480 picks · 699 bans
Bane
451 picks · 296 bans
Dragon Knight
438 picks · 536 bans
Storm Spirit
382 picks · 611 bans
Pangolier
376 picks · 609 bans
Sand King
366 picks · 527 bans
Keeper of the Light
345 picks · 767 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 55%
Hero pool strength56% Mist Walker
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% LBZS
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
LBZS 53%Mist Walker 47%
The model gave 53% on LBZS — the game was taken by LBZS.
Game 2prediction correct
LBZS 53%Mist Walker 47%
The model gave 53% on LBZS — the game was taken by LBZS.
Model check result
Model favoriteLBZS · 53%
Series resultLBZS 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2