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Intel World Open Beijing · BO3
result vs prediction
LBZSwin 2:1
series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Shenzhenloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

LBZS

Death Prophet
Death Prophet
Shanks · 9 games
44%
Night Stalker
Night Stalkeroften banned
Molasses · 5 games
40%
Io
Iooften banned
CatYou · 4 games
25%
Tusk
Tusk
CatYou · 4 games
50%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
Shanks · 3 games
67%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Shanks · 3 games
67%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Shanks · 2 games
50%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Molasses · 2 games
50%

Shenzhen

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
443 picks · 330 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
419 picks · 601 bans
51%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
353 picks · 430 bans
50%
Weaver
Weaver
348 picks · 784 bans
57%
Snapfire
Snapfire
331 picks · 183 bans
46%
Kunkka
Kunkka
273 picks · 458 bans
56%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker
267 picks · 392 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
246 picks · 339 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 53%
Hero pool strength50% LBZS
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% LBZS
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteLBZS · 55%
Series resultLBZS 2:1
Series predictioncorrect