Streamers League #2 · BO3
result vs prediction
LenS Teamwin 2:0series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 2:0
By_Owl Teamloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
LenS Team
No games played over 6 months.
By_Owl Team
Luna
Koma` · 5 games
Techies
rostikfacekid · 5 games
Bristlebackoften banned
blindzone · 4 games
Invokeroften banned
avice · 4 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
reira · 4 games
Rubick
rostikfacekid · 4 games
Crystal Maiden
by_Owl · 3 games
Dazzle
by_Owl · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
626 picks · 444 bans
Rubick
589 picks · 334 bans
Pangolier
429 picks · 629 bans
Phoenix
415 picks · 475 bans
Tiny
400 picks · 359 bans
Storm Spirit
335 picks · 382 bans
Ember Spirit
331 picks · 492 bans
Puck
319 picks · 965 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)71% vs 54%
Hero pool strength55% By_Owl Team
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total59% By_Owl Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed32:20
LenS Team 41%By_Owl Team 59%
The model gave 59% on By_Owl Team — the game was taken by LenS Team in 38:20.
Game 2prediction missed43:23
LenS Team 41%By_Owl Team 59%
The model gave 59% on By_Owl Team — the game was taken by LenS Team in 37:31.
Model check result
Model favoriteBy_Owl Team · 59%
Series resultLenS Team 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2