Streamers League #2 · BO5
result vs prediction
LenS Teamwin 3:1series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 3:1
By_Owl Teamloss 1:3The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
LenS Team
No games played over 6 months.
By_Owl Team
Crystal Maidensignature
by_Owl · 8 games
Techiessignature
rostikfacekid · 7 games
Rubicksignature
rostikfacekid · 6 games
Silencer
by_Owl · 6 games
Invokeroften banned
avice · 5 games
Luna
Koma` · 5 games
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Koma` · 5 games
Bristlebackoften banned
blindzone · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
617 picks · 440 bans
Rubick
577 picks · 331 bans
Pangolier
420 picks · 613 bans
Phoenix
406 picks · 455 bans
Tiny
401 picks · 366 bans
Storm Spirit
333 picks · 375 bans
Ember Spirit
328 picks · 492 bans
Puck
313 picks · 956 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)78% vs 59%
Hero pool strength59% By_Owl Team
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total52% By_Owl Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
LenS Team 48%By_Owl Team 52%
The model gave 52% on By_Owl Team — the game was taken by LenS Team.
Game 2prediction missed57:30
LenS Team 48%By_Owl Team 52%
The model gave 52% on By_Owl Team — the game was taken by LenS Team in 1:07:58.
Game 3prediction correct29:43
LenS Team 48%By_Owl Team 52%
The model gave 52% on By_Owl Team — the game was taken by By_Owl Team in 36:38.
Game 4prediction missed48:22
LenS Team 48%By_Owl Team 52%
The model gave 52% on By_Owl Team — the game was taken by LenS Team in 57:28.
Model check result
Model favoriteBy_Owl Team · 52%
Series resultLenS Team 3:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 4