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Leon Masters #1 · BO2
result vs prediction
Level UPloss 1:1
series probability
37%63%
probability at match start · final 1:1
One Moveloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Level UP

Rubick
Rubick
Jeezy · 8 games
25%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Jeezy · 8 games
13%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Stoic · 6 games
0%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Jeezy · 5 games
0%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
Jeezy · 5 games
40%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
ififall · 5 games
0%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spiritoften banned
Stoic · 5 games
0%
Lina
Linaoften banned
Bor@nija · 4 games
25%

One Move

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
SSS · 12 games
25%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
queezy · 12 games
33%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
SSS · 12 games
33%
Mars
Marsoften banned
SSS · 10 games
30%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Rein · 9 games
33%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Rein · 9 games
56%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
xn丶e · 9 games
56%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
xn丶e · 9 games
56%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
386 picks · 699 bans
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
322 picks · 373 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
321 picks · 466 bans
55%
Weaver
Weaver
320 picks · 616 bans
54%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
317 picks · 251 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
317 picks · 207 bans
49%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
307 picks · 350 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
294 picks · 540 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)26% vs 38%
Hero pool strength60% One Move
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total63% One Move
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed49:19
Level UP 42%One Move 58%
The model gave 58% on One Move — the game was taken by Level UP in 34:43.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinFocus
47% · 96 games52% · 40 games
Shadow FiendSquad1x
Shadow Fiend
Doom
Doomififall
50% · 86 games47% · 30 games
ClinkzWoE
Clinkz
Hoodwink
HoodwinkJeezy
53% · 109 games47% · 109 games
BeastmasterSSS
Beastmaster
Jakiro
JakiroSsaSpartan
54% · 44 games50% · 156 games
SvenRein
Sven
Game 2prediction correct20:33
Level UP 43%One Move 57%
The model gave 57% on One Move — the game was taken by One Move in 31:14.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ursa
UrsaFocus
51% · 63 games55% · 109 games
PuckSquad1x
Puck
Brewmaster
Brewmasterififall
49% · 188 games45% · 178 games
SvenWoE
Sven
Hoodwink
HoodwinkJeezy
45% · 223 games52% · 165 games
Primal BeastSSS
Primal Beast
Disruptor
DisruptorSsaSpartan
56% · 127 games49% · 149 games
EnchantressRein
Enchantress
Model check result
Model favoriteOne Move · 63%
Accuracy by game1 of 2