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The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Level UPwin 2:0
series probability
81%19%
probability at match start · final 2:0
summer bearloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Level UP

Tusk
Tusk
lupsione · 6 games
50%
Windranger
Windranger
chempik · 5 games
40%
Jakiro
Jakiro
monodrama · 4 games
0%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
chempik · 4 games
25%
Tiny
Tiny
Atoufix · 4 games
0%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Norma · 3 games
33%
Morphling
Morphling
chempik · 3 games
0%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
monodrama · 3 games
0%

summer bear

Techies
Techies
Delight · 3 games
33%
Legion Commander
Legion Commander
azimoff · 2 games
50%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Panda · 2 games
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Delight · 1 game
100%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
azimoff · 1 game
0%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
zuyzyan · 1 game
0%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Panda · 1 game
0%
Kez
Kezoften banned
zuyzyan · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
607 picks · 392 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
510 picks · 284 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
480 picks · 578 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
463 picks · 382 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
418 picks · 588 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
342 picks · 952 bans
55%
Tusk
Tusk
338 picks · 281 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
330 picks · 492 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)36% vs 56%
Hero pool strength55% summer bear
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total81% Level UP
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct36:19
Level UP 67%summer bear 33%
The model gave 67% on Level UP — the game was taken by Level UP in 45:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Lancer
Phantom LancerWoE
48% · 40 games56% · 53 games
Drow Rangerzuyzyan
Drow Ranger
Void Spirit
Void SpiritAinkrad
46% · 274 games52% · 218 games
BeastmasterPanda
Beastmaster
Axe
AxeBb3px
50% · 286 games46% · 305 games
Pangolierazimoff
Pangolier
Snapfire
Snapfirequeezy
53% · 434 games48% · 122 games
Undyingmonodrama
Undying
Techies
TechiesHtrd
45% · 147 games56% · 483 games
HoodwinkDelight
Hoodwink
Game 2prediction correct34:55
Level UP 81%summer bear 19%
The model gave 81% on Level UP — the game was taken by Level UP in 43:17.
Model check result
Model favoriteLevel UP · 81%
Series resultLevel UP 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2