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Pinnacle Cup · BO3
result vs prediction
Level UPloss 0:2
series probability
15%85%
probability at match start · final 0:2
ViKin.ggwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Level UP

Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
Mastermind · 2 games
0%
Outworld Destroyer
Outworld Destroyeroften banned
Bor@nija · 2 games
0%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Bor@nija · 1 game
0%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Bor@nija · 1 game
0%
Mirana
Mirana
Mastermind · 1 game
0%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Bor@nija · 1 game
0%
Sand King
Sand King
Bor@nija · 1 game
0%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
Mastermind · 1 game
0%

ViKin.gg

Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Seleri · 22 games
64%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
Seleri · 22 games
68%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritoften banned
Aramis · 19 games
53%
Puck
Pucksignature
BOOM · 17 games
71%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
KheZu · 14 games
86%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
BOOM · 14 games
71%
Lion
Lionsignature
Aramis · 13 games
69%
Tidehunter
Tidehuntersignature
KheZu · 13 games
77%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
398 picks · 1011 bans
50%
Mars
Mars
372 picks · 607 bans
55%
Lion
Lion
369 picks · 190 bans
48%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
363 picks · 365 bans
49%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
317 picks · 506 bans
47%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
311 picks · 681 bans
54%
Tusk
Tusk
308 picks · 225 bans
51%
Snapfire
Snapfire
269 picks · 150 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 80%
Hero pool strength67% ViKin.gg
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total85% ViKin.gg
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct38:21
Level UP 15%ViKin.gg 85%
The model gave 85% on ViKin.gg — the game was taken by ViKin.gg in 37:28.
Game 2prediction correct38:19
Level UP 15%ViKin.gg 85%
The model gave 85% on ViKin.gg — the game was taken by ViKin.gg in 30:32.
Model check result
Model favoriteViKin.gg · 85%
Series resultViKin.gg 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2